Unequaled-Thump
Skill vs luck
Unequaled-Thump on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$25. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 22, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Unequaled-Thump: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 22, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x771d7c5ac82ca8776738e2560f6a6e50d34b440e. Data CC BY 4.0.
Unequaled-Thump: −$25 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$25
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No @ 96¢ | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ↗ | $2.4K |
| Aug 30 | SELL No @ 98¢ | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? ↗ | $1.5K |
| Aug 24 | SELL No @ 96¢ | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? ↗ | $2.3K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?