0x4873…e5d8
Skill vs luck
0x4873…e5d8 on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–56%) · profit −$160. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0x4873…e5d8: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x487336be76ba1d8dbb001ed3924a85645a08e5d8. Data CC BY 4.0.
0x4873…e5d8: −$160 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- −$160
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2 | SELL No @ 99.4¢ | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? ↗ | $4.5K |
| Sep 2 | BUY No @ 99.5¢ | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? ↗ | $4.5K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.