Heartfelt-Stew
0xc5ce76fd24f0b7ae2b73f9c75f2318f34890266d
Heartfelt-Stew: +$136 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$136
return +12.3%
Settled bets
3
$1.1K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$4
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$140
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Yes
@ 96¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | $1.7K |
| Sep 29 | BUY No
@ 95¢
OKX IPO in 2026? |
OKX IPO in 2026? | $12K |
| Sep 29 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | $5.0K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 88¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $1.1K |
| Sep 16 | SELL No
@ 99.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $1.1K |
| Sep 5 | SELL No
@ 99.6¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $1.1K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.