Giant-Surge
Skill vs luck
Giant-Surge on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$60. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Giant-Surge: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x01299eda022e674a25366999bd4444c7715ef939. Data CC BY 4.0.
Giant-Surge: +$60 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 18 – Oct 3
- +$60
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | BUY No @ 97¢ | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? ↗ | $1.9K |
| Sep 22 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | $1.9K |
| Aug 20 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 August 17-23? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 August 17-23? | $1.1K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?