Nautical-Schooner-Athlete
0x0fc3b8610244706466ce8e34871e5456cb061329
Nautical-Schooner-Athlete: −$14 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 30%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$14
return −0.2%
Settled bets
6
$7.0K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 30%–90%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 3 – Sep 17
- −$568
- Sep 17 – Oct 1
- +$553
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −4.5%
(2,043 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | BUY Yes
@ 63¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? |
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | $1.6K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 42¢
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? |
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | $1.5K |
| Sep 20 | BUY No
@ 78¢
Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | $1.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No
@ 79¢
Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes? |
Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes? | $1.0K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 76¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | $1.1K |
| Sep 10 | SELL Linke
@ 75¢
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke? |
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke? | $1.3K |
| Sep 9 | SELL Yes
@ 48¢
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? |
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | $1.7K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Linke
@ 77¢
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke? |
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke? | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.