0x18d1…ea32
Skill vs luck
0x18d1…ea32 on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit +$2.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 21, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0x18d1…ea32: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 21, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x18d187c957378cbf49c5470a03698e2692bcea32. Data CC BY 4.0.
0x18d1…ea32: +$2.4K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 5 – Oct 21
- +$2.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | BUY Over @ 70¢ | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 ↗ | $6.0K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Over
@ 99¢
Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5 |
Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5 | $6.2K |
| Oct 14 | SELL Over
@ 99¢
Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5 |
Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5 | $3.4K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?