Frank-Beech
Skill vs luck
Frank-Beech on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 75% (95% range 30%–95%) · profit −$956. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 21, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Frank-Beech: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 21, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xad494094e355999ad09bd07e51861c2a1541c53e. Data CC BY 4.0.
Frank-Beech: −$956 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 5 – Oct 21
- −$956
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | BUY Over
@ 89¢
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 0.5 |
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 0.5 | $4.8K |
| Oct 20 | SELL Over @ 99.72¢ | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 ↗ | $42K |
| Oct 20 | BUY Over @ 86¢ | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 ↗ | $21K |
| Oct 20 | SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 ↗ | $37K |
| Oct 20 | BUY Over @ 95¢ | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 ↗ | $3.3K |
| Oct 19 | BUY Over
@ 93¢
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5 |
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5 | $4.9K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?