Polymarket market · Sports

Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics

Resolved: Baltimore Orioles won · See it on Polymarket ↗

11 whales put $150K into this market since Aug 28, 94% of their buying on Athletics. Baltimore Orioles won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$2.9K and 5 lost −$123K: −$120K between them.

The whales on this market

11 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Inferior-Traffic
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Athletics @ 49¢ $115K — −$115K
Blushing-Variation
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $19K —
Short-Term-Valance
110 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Athletics @ 49¢ $3.9K — −$3.9K
Favorable-Neuron
119 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 75¢ $2.5K — +$833
All-Peasant-Drug
891 settled bets Worse than the odds
Baltimore Orioles @ 84¢ $1.5K — +$288
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Baltimore Orioles @ 71¢ $1.4K — +$578
Illiterate-Counterforce
266 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Athletics @ 43¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Baltimore Orioles @ 82¢ $1.3K — +$283
Vigilant-Environment
156 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Athletics @ 58¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Athletics @ 35¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Punctual-Battleship
9 settled bets Too few bets
Baltimore Orioles @ 52¢ $1.0K — +$960

Where the whale money went

  1. Athletics lost
    $123K
    94% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $10K sold
  2. Baltimore Orioles won
    $7.8K
    6% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $9.0K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 28 to Aug 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed