Polymarket market · Other

Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-08-29?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

3 whales put $231K into this market since Aug 29, 59% of their buying on Yes. No won. Of the 3 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$936 and 2 lost −$230K: −$229K between them.

The whales on this market

3 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Present-Grape-Drinking
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 44¢ $216K — −$216K
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 43¢ $14K — −$14K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 55¢ $1.1K — +$936

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes lost
    $137K
    59% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  2. Yes lost
    $93K
    40% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  3. No won
    $1.1K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed