Polymarket market · Sports
Almaty Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs James Duckworth
Resolved: James Duckworth won · See it on Polymarket ↗
10 whales traded $51K on this market since Oct 19, 77% of their buying on James Duckworth. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 2.8¢ less per share, with 90% of the size there to buy. James Duckworth won, with 77% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$31K and 2 lost −$10K: +$21K between them. Biggest win: Embellished-Lecture, +$28K on James Duckworth. Biggest loss: Substantial-Service, −$7.2K on Miomir Kecmanovic.
The whales on this market
10 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embellished-Lecture
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
James Duckworth @ 47¢ | $24K | — | +$28K |
| Substantial-Service
889 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Miomir Kecmanovic @ 5¢ | $7.2K | — | −$7.2K |
| Pointless-Illustration
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
James Duckworth @ 97¢ | $4.0K | — | +$124 |
| Meager-Flair-Wait
77 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $3.9K | — |
| Grateful-Chest
268 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
James Duckworth @ 69¢ | $3.5K | — | +$1.6K |
| Ignorant-Shaw-Ego
123 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Miomir Kecmanovic @ 59¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
| Shameful-Delay
127 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K | — |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat
200 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
James Duckworth @ 40¢ | $1.3K | — | +$1.9K |
| Secret-Evaluator
112 settled bets Beat the odds* |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,656 settled bets Beat the odds* |
James Duckworth @ 80¢ | $1.0K | — | +$251 |
Where the whale money went
-
James Duckworth won$34K77% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $6.4K sold
-
Miomir Kecmanovic lost$10K23% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 19, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792479640).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ningbo Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich | $139K | 10 | Won: Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
| Cowboys vs. Packers | $746K | 52 | Won: Packers | |
| Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Himeno Sakatsume | $54K | 7 | Won: Katie Boulter | |
| Ningbo Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Marie Bouzkova | $74K | 15 | Won: Marie Bouzkova | |
| Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | $105K | 6 | Won: Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
| Lyon Open: Jaime Faria vs Felix Balshaw | $71K | 17 | Won: Felix Balshaw | |
| Bills vs. Raiders | $398K | 24 | Won: Bills | |
| Spread: Bills (-5.5) | $67K | 4 | Won: Raiders |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?