Turbulent-Celebrity
0xcb4c32ea10e917e5daac3710c64981aebdb66d64
Turbulent-Celebrity: +$10K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$10K
return +105.1%
Settled bets
7
$9.9K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$8.9K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$1.5K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$11
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | SELL Team Yandex
@ 99.82¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $6.1K |
| Sep 12 | SELL No
@ 13¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | $1.5K |
| Aug 27 | BUY No
@ 27¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31? |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31? | $2.4K |
| Aug 23 | SELL Team Spirit
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs | $12K |
| Aug 21 | SELL TEAM VISION
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs | $4.0K |
| Aug 21 | SELL BoomBoys
@ 99¢
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | $4.0K |
| Aug 20 | BUY TEAM VISION
@ 75¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | $7.5K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.