Vibrant-Vintner
0xc851cd9bee7d262afd78674f861f9f576a12cd2a
Vibrant-Vintner: +$3.9K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 22%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$3.9K
return +5.6%
Settled bets
8
$71K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 22%–79%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$20K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$75
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$16K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 11¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | $2.2K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Yes
@ 12¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | $4.1K |
| Sep 25 | BUY No
@ 59¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $4.1K |
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 14¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | $16K |
| Sep 23 | SELL Yes
@ 97¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | $2.3K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Yes
@ 16¢
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | $2.0K |
| Sep 23 | BUY No
@ 35¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | $1.8K |
| Sep 22 | BUY No
@ 86¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | $9.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.