Black-And-White-Cloud

0xa639cba9de2767193ac9652e56f79c6a9302a48f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Black-And-White-Cloud: +$797 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 38%–96%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$797
return +9.7%
Settled bets
5
$8.2K staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 38%–96%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$5
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$123
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$669
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 BUY Texas A&M @ 85¢
Arkansas vs. Texas A&M
Arkansas vs. Texas A&M $2.0K
Sep 27 BUY Bills @ 76¢
Chargers vs. Bills
Chargers vs. Bills $1.0K
Sep 20 SELL Texas @ 99¢
UTSA vs. Texas
UTSA vs. Texas $2.9K
Sep 19 BUY Georgia @ 96¢
Georgia vs. Arkansas
Georgia vs. Arkansas $4.0K
Sep 12 BUY No @ 99.5¢
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? $1.2K
Aug 25 BUY Yes @ 99.6¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25? $1.2K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed