Flickering-Ratio
0x479d647a0b3a55b87883ee7189ebb4f165b2d469
Flickering-Ratio: +$999 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$999
return —
Settled bets
2
$0 staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$999
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 84¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $2.4K |
| Sep 17 | SELL No
@ 96¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | $5.7K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 83¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | $3.4K |
| Sep 16 | SELL No
@ 94¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | $3.1K |
| Sep 15 | SELL No
@ 95¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | $3.2K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 86¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | $1.1K |
| Sep 13 | BUY No
@ 84¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | $1.8K |
| Sep 13 | SELL No
@ 95¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.