Polymarket market · Other

Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

3 whales put $166K into this market since Sep 5, 100% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 3 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$11K and 0 lost $0: +$11K between them.

The whales on this market

3 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Trivial-Ravioli
228 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 94¢ $164K — +$10K
Forthright-Forager
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 93¢ $1.6K — +$122
Fearful-Ghost
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 94¢ $1.3K — +$76

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $166K
    100% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 5 to Sep 6, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed