Polymarket market · Sports

UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

Resolved: Valesca Machado won · See it on Polymarket ↗

5 whales put $59K into this market since Sep 26, 97% of their buying on Valesca Machado. Valesca Machado won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$2.4K and 1 lost −$1.7K: +$765 between them.

The whales on this market

5 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Elementary-Cheek-Mocha
2 settled bets Too few bets
Valesca Machado @ 99¢ $49K — +$700
Lost-Sage-Zootsuit
84 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Valesca Machado @ 98¢ $4.3K — +$83
Grand-Reasoning
8 settled bets Too few bets
Valesca Machado @ 66¢ $2.7K — +$1.4K
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Melissa Amaya @ 25¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Splendid-Collectivization
9 settled bets Too few bets
Valesca Machado @ 81¢ $1.2K — +$274

Where the whale money went

  1. Valesca Machado won
    $57K
    97% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. Melissa Amaya lost
    $1.7K
    3% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 26 to Sep 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-09-26? $57K 5 Won: Yes
UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) $154K 7 Won: Ailin Perez
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners $77K 6 Won: Seattle Mariners
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili $90K 11 Won: Nikoloz Basilashvili
Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Kyrian Jacquet $51K 15 Won: Kyrian Jacquet
Korea Open: Maya Joint vs Kimberly Birrell $111K 15 Won: Kimberly Birrell
Chengdu Open: Alexandre Muller vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina $53K 10 Won: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev $58K 12 Won: Andrey Rublev
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed