Quintessential-Milk
Skill vs luck
Quintessential-Milk on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 80% (95% range 38%–96%) · profit −$1.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Quintessential-Milk: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x72f38334fc7fc6cd0775dff33b7b09f68d82ba51. Data CC BY 4.0.
Quintessential-Milk: −$1.0K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 38%–96%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$1.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | BUY Wild @ 99¢ | Wild vs. Kraken ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Hurricanes
@ 97¢
Hurricanes vs. Blues |
Hurricanes vs. Blues | $12K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Oregon
@ 88¢
Oregon vs. Illinois |
Oregon vs. Illinois | $2.0K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Yes
@ 94¢
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-22? |
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-22? | $8.0K |
| Oct 16 | BUY Yes
@ 95¢
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 19? |
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 19? | $1.1K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?