Polymarket market · Sports

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5

Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗

5 whales put $77K into this market since Oct 6, 91% of their buying on Under. Under won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$69K and 2 lost −$6.6K: +$62K between them.

The whales on this market

5 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Grandiose-Wasp-Knickers
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 50¢ $42K — +$42K
Taut-Semicolon
181 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 51¢ $23K — +$22K
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Under @ 52¢ $5.0K — +$4.6K
Harmless-Region
179 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 50¢ $4.6K — −$4.6K
Bland-Tug
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 51¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Under won
    $70K
    91% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  2. Over lost
    $4.6K
    6% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  3. Over lost
    $2.0K
    3% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 6 to Oct 7, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed