Polymarket market · Other
Spread: Texas (-3.5)
Resolved: Texas won · See it on Polymarket ↗
6 whales traded $64K on this market since Oct 22, 59% of their buying on Texas. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 6 minutes later would have cost 3.5¢ more per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. Texas won, with 59% of the whale buying on it. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$40K and 2 lost −$27K: +$14K between them. Biggest win: Grotesque-Answer, +$18K on Texas. Biggest loss: Half-Mime, −$25K on Ole Miss.
The whales on this market
6 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half-Mime
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Ole Miss @ 54¢ | $25K | — | −$25K |
| Grotesque-Answer
68 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Texas @ 49¢ | $17K | — | +$18K |
| Boring-Musician
142 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Texas @ 48¢ | $13K | — | +$14K |
| Glaring-Salt
2,044 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Texas @ 47¢ | $5.3K | — | +$5.9K |
| Creamy-Guest
137 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Texas @ 47¢ | $2.4K | — | +$2.7K |
| Considerate-Attraction
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Ole Miss @ 54¢ | $1.6K | — | −$1.6K |
Where the whale money went
-
Texas won$38K59% of whale buying · 4 buyers
-
Ole Miss lost$27K42% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 22 to Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss vs. Texas | $552K | 29 | Won: Texas | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $842K | 101 | Open | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | $105K | 31 | Open | |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | $57K | 14 | Open | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | $85K | 11 | Open | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $181K | 37 | Open | |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State | $142K | 7 | Won: Colorado State | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $147K | 28 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?