Polymarket market · Sports

Shanghai: Marat Sharipov vs Taro Daniel

Resolved: Marat Sharipov won · See it on Polymarket ↗

6 whales put $83K into this market since Sep 9, 78% of their buying on Taro Daniel. Marat Sharipov won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$14K and 2 lost −$48K: −$34K between them.

The whales on this market

6 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
0x78be…bde0
194 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Taro Daniel @ 63¢ $45K — −$45K
Enraged-Due
176 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Marat Sharipov @ 29¢ $5.3K $18K +$13K
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Marat Sharipov @ 91¢ $5.9K — +$588
Several-Morning
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Taro Daniel @ 60¢ $3.4K — −$3.4K
Forsaken-Galley
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.9K —
Noted-Authentication
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Marat Sharipov @ 72¢ $2.6K — +$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Taro Daniel lost
    $48K
    78% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  2. Marat Sharipov won
    $14K
    22% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $21K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed