Several-Morning
0x3663ed135115e034de3a9ad8cdca8493e8d68950
Several-Morning: −$6.0K on 27 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 26% (95% range 13%–45%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$6.0K
return −24.0%
Settled bets
27
$25K staked
Won
25.9%
95% range 13%–45%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$2.1K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$6.1K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$2.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | SELL Kimberly Birrell
@ 99.9¢
Korea Open: Maya Joint vs Kimberly Birrell |
Korea Open: Maya Joint vs Kimberly Birrell | $1.1K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Aleksandar Kovacevic
@ 38¢
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Aleksandar Kovacevic |
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Aleksandar Kovacevic | $1.9K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Down
@ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | $2.4K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Down
@ 99.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | $2.6K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Filip Peliwo
@ 99.9¢
M25 Yinchuan: Filip Peliwo vs Enzo Aguiard |
M25 Yinchuan: Filip Peliwo vs Enzo Aguiard | $2.3K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Filip Peliwo
@ 99.9¢
M25 Yinchuan: Filip Peliwo vs Enzo Aguiard |
M25 Yinchuan: Filip Peliwo vs Enzo Aguiard | $1.3K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Sheng Tang
@ 99.9¢
M25 Yinchuan: Semen Pankin vs Sheng Tang |
M25 Yinchuan: Semen Pankin vs Sheng Tang | $2.2K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Aoi Ito
@ 54¢
Singapore Open, Qualification: Nao Hibino vs Aoi Ito |
Singapore Open, Qualification: Nao Hibino vs Aoi Ito | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.