Poised-Entertainment

0xe172d9e17386f9b4298e2e6eaf8c66d8a8b4e8e0

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Poised-Entertainment: +$760 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$760
return +9.9%
Settled bets
5
$7.7K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$1.4K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$2.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 24 BUY No @ 92¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? $1.2K
Sep 24 BUY No @ 92¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? $7.6K
Sep 23 BUY Yes @ 71¢
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? $6.4K
Sep 23 SELL No @ 99.2¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? $7.5K
Sep 21 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? $1.8K
Sep 21 BUY Yes @ 92¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? $3.4K
Sep 21 SELL No @ 97¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? $3.2K
Sep 21 SELL No @ 97¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? $2.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed