Fearless-Rear-Chitchat

0xc62796d790c46a93f6511b112411f125714bcf54

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Fearless-Rear-Chitchat: −$2.1K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 30%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.1K
return −13.5%
Settled bets
6
$16K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 30%–90%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$858
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$1.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL No @ 6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? $2.5K
Oct 9 SELL No @ 6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? $1.4K
Oct 9 SELL No @ 8¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? $6.1K
Oct 9 BUY No @ 6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? $3.9K
Oct 9 BUY No @ 5¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? $4.1K
Oct 3 BUY No @ 17¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? $1.8K
Sep 26 BUY No @ 11¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? $1.2K
Sep 17 BUY No @ 85¢
Will DeMar DeRozan play for the LA Clippers in 2026-27?
Will DeMar DeRozan play for the LA Clippers in 2026-27? $3.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed