Traumatic-Pressroom
Skill vs luck
Traumatic-Pressroom on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 43% (95% range 16%–75%) · profit −$3.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 4, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Traumatic-Pressroom: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 4, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x7845161180695b5741fa3d71f203eaaac497417b. Data CC BY 4.0.
Traumatic-Pressroom: −$3.0K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 4 – Sep 19
- +$195
- Sep 19 – Oct 4
- −$1.7K
- Oct 4 – Oct 20
- +$507
- Oct 20 – Nov 4
- −$2.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | BUY Yes @ 74¢ | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | $4.1K |
| Nov 1 | BUY No
@ 88¢
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? |
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? | $2.2K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Yes @ 50¢ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? ↗ | $1.0K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Yes @ 88¢ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? ↗ | $1.6K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Yes @ 93¢ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | $6.4K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Yes @ 74¢ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | $3.3K |
| Oct 17 | SELL No
@ 98¢
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | $2.0K |
| Oct 11 | BUY No @ 84¢ | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ↗ | $2.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.