Silly-Cattle

0x629c2844d5c0e36774a67fe10dcd43ca31a76c01

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Silly-Cattle: +$22K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 83% (95% range 44%–97%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$22K
return +45.8%
Settled bets
6
$48K staked
Won
83.3%
95% range 44%–97%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$8.1K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$13K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$1.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 20 BUY Yes @ 95¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? $24K
Sep 19 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? $20K
Sep 15 SELL Yes @ 54¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? $2.1K
Sep 9 BUY Under @ 50¢
VfB Stuttgart vs. Viking FK: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
VfB Stuttgart vs. Viking FK: O/U 10.5 Total Corners $1.1K
Sep 8 BUY No @ 59¢
Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-09-08?
Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-09-08? $17K
Aug 27 BUY Legacy @ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B $4.2K
Aug 26 BUY No @ 50¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? $2.3K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed