Threadbare-Lunchroom
0x30de156a425f2775918851ef0b0b8f8a2e631f9d
Threadbare-Lunchroom: +$1.3K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.3K
return +67.7%
Settled bets
3
$1.9K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$1.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY Milwaukee Brewers
@ 43¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres |
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | $1.6K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 99.9¢
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) |
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | $1.9K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 60¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | $1.9K |
| Oct 3 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.3K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Yes
@ 62¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $1.9K |
| Sep 23 | SELL Arizona Diamondbacks
@ 99.9¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies | $1.9K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.