Cloudy-Eveningwear

0x185922434e87ab10d78cbdf571ed94452e39f776

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Cloudy-Eveningwear: −$7.7K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$7.7K
return −55.8%
Settled bets
6
$14K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$2.0K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$1.4K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$4.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 8 BUY Under @ 93¢
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 5.5
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 5.5 $2.5K
Oct 6 BUY Yes @ 95¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06?
Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06? $1.7K
Oct 5 BUY Belgium @ 91¢
Spread: France (-3.5)
Spread: France (-3.5) $1.5K
Oct 2 BUY Yes @ 60¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $4.8K
Sep 9 BUY Yes @ 46¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.4K
Aug 22 BUY Yes @ 57¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $2.0K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed