Hideous-Cloves

0xc1e0d332c95b9e263ad3b0857e63dec7e6656758

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Hideous-Cloves: −$3.2K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$3.2K
return −68.3%
Settled bets
4
$4.6K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 5%–70%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 1 – Oct 15
−$3.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −4.5% (2,043 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 2 BUY Down @ 68¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET $1.0K
Oct 2 BUY Down @ 46¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET $1.0K
Oct 2 BUY Up @ 60¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET $1.0K
Oct 2 BUY Down @ 66¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET $1.6K
Oct 2 SELL Yes @ 67¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? $6.4K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792047640, computed 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792047640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed