Polymarket market · Sports
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)
Resolved: Spurs won · See it on Polymarket ↗
9 whales traded $85K on this market since Oct 27, 50% of their buying on Kings. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Spurs won, with 50% of the whale buying on it. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$39K and 3 lost −$39K: −$356 between them. Biggest win: Rosy-Trinket, +$25K on Spurs. Biggest loss: Arid-Revolver, −$34K on Kings.
The whales on this market
9 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arid-Revolver
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Kings @ 50¢ | $34K | — | −$34K |
| Rosy-Trinket
156 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spurs @ 50¢ | $25K | — | +$25K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,154 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spurs @ 46¢ | $8.2K | — | +$1.9K |
| Golden-Developer-Walk
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spurs @ 52¢ | $5.0K | — | +$4.6K |
| Corrupt-Poisoning
496 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Spurs @ 53¢ | $3.3K | — | +$3.0K |
| Sweaty-Similarity
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Kings @ 49¢ | $2.5K | — | −$2.5K |
| Striped-Refuse
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spurs @ 50¢ | $2.4K | — | +$2.4K |
| Key-Capability
136 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Kings @ 35¢ | $2.1K | — | −$2.1K |
| Cold-Skating-Glut
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Spurs @ 52¢ | $1.5K | — | +$1.4K |
Where the whale money went
-
Kings lost$43K50% of whale buying · 4 buyers
-
Spurs won$42K50% of whale buying · 6 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 27 to Oct 28, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793170821).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings vs. Spurs | $141K | 11 | Won: Spurs | |
| Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5 | $54K | 14 | Won: Over | |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | $53K | 3 | Won: Knicks | |
| Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5 | $179K | 7 | Won: Over | |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) | $94K | 8 | Won: Nets | |
| Nets vs. Celtics | $251K | 28 | Won: Celtics | |
| Pistons vs. Knicks | $418K | 45 | Won: Knicks | |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | $87K | 27 | Won: Tampa Bay Rays |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?