Cold-Skating-Glut
Skill vs luck
Cold-Skating-Glut on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 60% (95% range 23%–88%) · profit +$1.9K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Cold-Skating-Glut: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xbf08be85b9c157db09f4b949a72179a1fe43907e. Data CC BY 4.0.
Cold-Skating-Glut: +$1.9K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 23 – Oct 10
- −$1.4K
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- +$3.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY Spurs @ 52¢ | Spread: Spurs (-18.5) ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Over
@ 52¢
North Texas vs. Navy: O/U 63.5 |
North Texas vs. Navy: O/U 63.5 | $2.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Over
@ 54¢
UCLA vs. Oregon: O/U 58.5 |
UCLA vs. Oregon: O/U 58.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Wyoming
@ 54¢
Spread: North Dakota State (-17.5) |
Spread: North Dakota State (-17.5) | $1.6K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Eastern Michigan
@ 54¢
Spread: UMass (-6.5) |
Spread: UMass (-6.5) | $2.0K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?