Polymarket market · Sports

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5

Resolved: Over won · See it on Polymarket ↗

6 whales put $78K into this market since Sep 15, 49% of their buying on Over. Over won. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$25K and 3 lost −$23K: +$2.0K between them.

The whales on this market

6 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Fresh-Availability
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 45¢ $40K — −$8.8K
Vacant-Knowledge-Incidence
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 48¢ $18K — +$20K
Prickly-Hype
93 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 55¢ $13K — −$13K
Sore-Crime
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 48¢ $2.6K — +$2.8K
Generous-Burning
213 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 48¢ $2.5K — +$2.7K
Late-Bunch
3 settled bets Too few bets
Under @ 53¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Over won
    $38K
    49% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. Over lost
    $25K
    33% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  3. Under lost
    $14K
    19% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 15, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed