Sore-Crime
0xc34b4901be324718c176100e350211d97b199296
Sore-Crime: −$1.8K on 52 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 15% (95% range 8%–28%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.8K
return −6.1%
Settled bets
52
$30K staked
Won
15.4%
95% range 8%–28%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 19 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$912
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$2.8K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$7
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | SELL 3DMAX
@ 99.9¢
Map Handicap: LG (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: LG (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) | $1.0K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Arizona Diamondbacks
@ 99.9¢
New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks |
New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | $4.7K |
| Sep 20 | SELL BET-M 33
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Brute vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Brute vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | $1.4K |
| Sep 19 | SELL 3DMAX
@ 99.9¢
Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) | $1.3K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-09-19? |
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-09-19? | $1.2K |
| Sep 19 | SELL BESTIA
@ 99.1¢
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5) | $1.7K |
| Sep 18 | SELL magic
@ 99.9¢
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5) | $1.7K |
| Sep 18 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.