Admirable-Trust

0xfbd8c9c22ca76b3662d0e53a4f79719fdc684027

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Admirable-Trust: +$1.7K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.7K
return +17.8%
Settled bets
3
$9.5K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 44%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$1.7K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$30
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 BUY No @ 81¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.2K
Oct 5 BUY No @ 81¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.7K
Oct 5 BUY No @ 81¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.7K
Oct 5 BUY No @ 81¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.7K
Oct 5 BUY No @ 81¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.7K
Oct 5 BUY No @ 81¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.7K
Oct 5 BUY No @ 99.8¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? $2.0K
Oct 4 BUY No @ 99¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? $2.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed