Frozen-Hop-Tube

0xf6aad816d2b7166e4fc368f339643d897b714e0e

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Frozen-Hop-Tube: +$2.4K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 41%–93%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.4K
return +20.8%
Settled bets
8
$11K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 41%–93%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$1.4K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$704
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$264
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 2 BUY Yes @ 92¢
Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?
Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? $1.0K
Oct 1 SELL Yes @ 99¢
Will Morocco vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Will Morocco vs. Ghana end in a draw? $1.2K
Sep 28 BUY Italy @ 95¢
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) $2.2K
Sep 27 BUY Portugal @ 97¢
Spread: Norway (-3.5)
Spread: Norway (-3.5) $2.8K
Sep 13 BUY Yes @ 68¢
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-09-13?
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-09-13? $1.5K
Sep 5 BUY Yes @ 83¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05? $2.5K
Sep 4 BUY Yes @ 60¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04? $1.3K
Aug 30 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30? $4.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed