Harmless-Vice
0xf1236fe4389007cd730d2eaff0d7df90917972e4
Harmless-Vice: +$1.2K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 51%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.2K
return +14.0%
Settled bets
4
$8.3K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 51%–100%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$1.0K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$111
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29 | BUY Yes
@ 44¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $1.5K |
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Will the game go to extra innings?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves |
Will the game go to extra innings?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | $1.6K |
| Sep 22 | SELL Yes
@ 53¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $1.9K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Arman Tsarukyan
@ 73¢
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) |
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | $2.1K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Alabama
@ 92¢
Florida State vs. Alabama |
Florida State vs. Alabama | $2.4K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Utah
@ 97¢
Utah State vs. Utah |
Utah State vs. Utah | $2.2K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.