Everlasting-Email-Belligerency
Skill vs luck
Everlasting-Email-Belligerency on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$6. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Everlasting-Email-Belligerency: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xefb70577dc01cee93601053a2d18d419827a0870. Data CC BY 4.0.
Everlasting-Email-Belligerency: +$6 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- +$6
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | SELL Yes @ 20¢ | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ | $1.9K |
| Oct 31 | BUY No
@ 99.8¢
Will Together win 17-19 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? |
Will Together win 17-19 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | $2.9K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes @ 99.1¢ | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? ↗ | $4.5K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes @ 79¢ | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ | $3.6K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.