True-Parallelogram
0xe54b29efaff2651b3140a88eeaa02acfcc60aa14
True-Parallelogram: +$596 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 61%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$596
return +3.5%
Settled bets
6
$17K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 61%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$3
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$593
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 85¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | $2.6K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 93¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $4.7K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 85¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | $2.6K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 93¢
Israel military action against Yemen by October 31? |
Israel military action against Yemen by October 31? | $1.4K |
| Sep 23 | BUY No
@ 89¢
Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026? |
Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026? | $1.2K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? |
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | $2.3K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? |
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | $1.6K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026? |
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026? | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.