Splendid-Lion
0xe23b8c541afbe1a3f06734a569207e7243ae7c42
Splendid-Lion: +$586 on 25 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 44% (95% range 27%–63%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$586
return +2.0%
Settled bets
25
$30K staked
Won
44.0%
95% range 27%–63%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$391
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$6.3K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$6.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY MOUZ
@ 55¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY 1win
@ 33¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $1.3K |
| Oct 7 | BUY FlyQuest
@ 75¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 6 | SELL LEGION
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner | $3.0K |
| Oct 6 | SELL HULIGANI
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 6 | SELL HANJIN BRION
@ 99.9¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | $3.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY LEGION
@ 54¢
Dota 2: LEGION vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs |
Dota 2: LEGION vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | $1.9K |
| Oct 4 | BUY G2
@ 68¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.