Charming-Nightingale

0xda62b72f7884c9cf18ab841b5287f034bac8b0e8

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Charming-Nightingale: +$3.2K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 71% (95% range 36%–92%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$3.2K
return +38.6%
Settled bets
7
$8.3K staked
Won
71.4%
95% range 36%–92%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$404
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$2.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Team Falcons @ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $1.0K
Oct 8 BUY Team Yandex @ 35¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs $1.0K
Oct 8 BUY Aurora @ 75¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner $1.5K
Oct 1 BUY GamerLegion @ 92¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner $2.0K
Sep 27 SELL DN SOOPers Challengers @ 99.9¢
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs $1.4K
Sep 26 BUY Natus Vincere @ 48¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs $1.2K
Sep 23 BUY 1win @ 80¢
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage $1.6K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed