Ornate-Dispatch

0xd61a46bb5b0be9fee1e4a56671f4dacf79d9708b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Ornate-Dispatch: +$3.6K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 35%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$3.6K
return +16.3%
Settled bets
9
$22K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 35%–88%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$3.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 8 BUY PARIVISION @ 45¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner $1.8K
Oct 8 BUY LEGION @ 66¢
Dota 2: LEGION vs Blasterbl - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: LEGION vs Blasterbl - Game 1 Winner $3.0K
Sep 30 BUY BetBoom Team @ 58¢
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 2 Winner $1.3K
Sep 30 BUY OG @ 42¢
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 2 Winner $1.0K
Sep 29 BUY Team Spirit @ 72¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner $2.7K
Sep 29 BUY Team Nemesis @ 94¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner $5.0K
Sep 29 BUY Team Spirit @ 40¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner $2.0K
Sep 27 BUY Team Yandex @ 74¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner $2.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed