Peaceful-Fortune

0xd3d3d44acadda7bf4aea7769db7379383635bb8e

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Peaceful-Fortune: +$1.2K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.2K
return +24.3%
Settled bets
6
$4.9K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$132
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$1.1K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$2
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 SELL Yes @ 93¢
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? $1.2K
Sep 20 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20? $2.0K
Sep 19 BUY Yes @ 77¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? $2.0K
Sep 6 BUY Yes @ 76¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06? $1.5K
Aug 28 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28?
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28? $1.3K
Aug 23 BUY Yes @ 73¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23? $1.4K
Aug 22 SELL Yes @ 93¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22? $5.1K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed