0xce2e…4257

0xce2e43c9569432a8ee808e8da88da0cabd474257

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

0xce2e…4257: −$5.2K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 8%–64%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$5.2K
return −49.8%
Settled bets
7
$10K staked
Won
28.6%
95% range 8%–64%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$5.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Cowboys @ 58¢
Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)
Spread: Cowboys (-2.5) $1.2K
Oct 9 BUY Cowboys @ 60¢
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) $1.0K
Oct 7 BUY Nuggets @ 83¢
Nuggets vs. Jazz
Nuggets vs. Jazz $1.4K
Oct 2 BUY Browns @ 57¢
Spread: Browns (-7.5)
Spread: Browns (-7.5) $2.9K
Oct 2 BUY Yes @ 56¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.0K
Sep 25 BUY Falcons @ 56¢
Spread: Falcons (-2.5)
Spread: Falcons (-2.5) $2.0K
Sep 24 BUY Packers @ 55¢
Spread: Packers (-3.5)
Spread: Packers (-3.5) $1.0K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed