Serene-Nephew

0xbee74161057f6095ebf6424dc29d79cb7a6225d7

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Serene-Nephew: +$886 on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 57% (95% range 25%–84%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$886
return +9.3%
Settled bets
7
$9.5K staked
Won
57.1%
95% range 25%–84%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$387
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$498
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY No @ 79¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10?
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10? $1.2K
Oct 9 BUY No @ 73¢
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? $1.1K
Oct 6 BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 78¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka $1.6K
Oct 5 BUY Iga Swiatek @ 68¢
China Open: Donna Vekic vs Iga Swiatek
China Open: Donna Vekic vs Iga Swiatek $1.1K
Oct 4 BUY Payton Talbott @ 86¢
UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)
UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card) $1.3K
Oct 3 BUY Alina Charaeva @ 22¢
China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva
China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva $1.3K
Oct 3 BUY Xinyu Wang @ 50¢
China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang
China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang $2.0K
Oct 1 BUY Taylor Fritz @ 79¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed