Exhausted-String

0xb7606d0d3719c88f9b868a13015881af5222ccd7

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Exhausted-String: −$1.5K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.5K
return −108.6%
Settled bets
2
$1.4K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–66%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$1.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 2 SELL No @ 93¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? $1.2K
Sep 24 BUY Yes @ 22¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? $2.2K
Sep 16 BUY No @ 8¢
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? $1.4K
Sep 14 SELL Yes @ 95¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? $2.5K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed