Villainous-Achiever

0xb357437166e9dc62a8c5aef1f5a8fb78bbeca4ae

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Villainous-Achiever: −$2.8K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 14% (95% range 3%–51%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.8K
return −57.4%
Settled bets
7
$4.9K staked
Won
14.3%
95% range 3%–51%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$2
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$1.0K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$1.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 SELL Yes @ 84¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $4.1K
Sep 28 BUY Yes @ 17¢
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? $3.1K
Sep 28 BUY Yes @ 36¢
Will Poland win on 2026-09-28?
Will Poland win on 2026-09-28? $1.7K
Sep 28 SELL Yes @ 58¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.2K
Sep 24 BUY Yes @ 56¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.0K
Sep 22 SELL Yes @ 59¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.0K
Sep 19 SELL Yes @ 74¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? $2.4K
Sep 18 BUY Yes @ 82¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed