Every-Alligator
0xa16a1302ca05463f30faebeb5c045767fde233a1
Every-Alligator: +$6.2K on 73 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 89% (95% range 80%–94%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$6.2K
return +1.7%
Settled bets
73
$367K staked
Won
89.0%
95% range 80%–94%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 68 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$13K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$3.4K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$3.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 99.87¢
Nigeria to win the second half? |
Nigeria to win the second half? | $1.5K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Over
@ 99.8¢
Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 52.5 |
Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 52.5 | $1.9K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Movistar KOI Fénix
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage |
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage | $2.4K |
| Oct 4 | BUY UCAM Esports Club
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 99.88¢
Exact Score: Hamburger SV 2 - 0 FC Copenhagen? |
Exact Score: Hamburger SV 2 - 0 FC Copenhagen? | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 99.84¢
Exact Score: Thame United FC 0 - 1 Eastbourne Borough FC? |
Exact Score: Thame United FC 0 - 1 Eastbourne Borough FC? | $1.8K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 99.87¢
Exact Score: Leyton Orient FC 0 - 2 Plymouth Argyle FC? |
Exact Score: Leyton Orient FC 0 - 2 Plymouth Argyle FC? | $1.4K |
| Oct 2 | BUY No
@ 99.88¢
M15 Ann Arbor, MI, Main Draw: Completed Match: Hugo Coquelin vs Olaf Pieczkowski |
M15 Ann Arbor, MI, Main Draw: Completed Match: Hugo Coquelin vs Olaf Pieczkowski | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.