Raw-Injunction
0x8e89a5b7db763f3c3bfdfd8edaf4a6ff7f48c03b
Raw-Injunction: −$9.6K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$9.6K
return −28.1%
Settled bets
2
$34K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$9.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17 | BUY Yes
@ 74¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $18K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 88¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $16K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 88¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | $15K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.