Jumpy-Athletics

0x87cbd601568caf385aab2dfb8912c70f56d96232

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Jumpy-Athletics: −$4.9K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.9K
return −66.4%
Settled bets
4
$7.4K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 5%–70%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$1.5K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$1.0K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$2.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 BUY Spirit @ 82¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $2.4K
Sep 18 BUY MIBR @ 80¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $2.0K
Sep 13 BUY Over @ 75¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5
Games Total: O/U 3.5 $1.5K
Aug 31 BUY Aurora Gaming @ 51¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner $1.5K
Aug 20 BUY No @ 90¢
Will Helio Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?
Will Helio Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election? $1.2K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed