Thankful-Beat
0x82da50b00bb35eb71a30d18bf290ff7a7873da33
Thankful-Beat: +$6.4K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 35%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$6.4K
return +23.3%
Settled bets
9
$27K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 35%–88%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$260
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$6.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 53¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | $5.8K |
| Oct 10 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 77¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 68¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Aug 28 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? |
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | $9.4K |
| Aug 23 | BUY TEAM VISION
@ 63¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | $1.3K |
| Aug 22 | BUY TEAM VISION
@ 72¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | $3.3K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 40¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs | $1.0K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Nigma Galaxy
@ 35¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.