Candid-Adviser
0x68a6cc32c1c9aa0ba02a9c7c9fc29a4f5721e96b
Candid-Adviser: −$968 on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 52% (95% range 33%–71%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$968
return −3.6%
Settled bets
23
$27K staked
Won
52.2%
95% range 33%–71%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$330
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.6K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$1.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 50¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 22 | BUY T1 Academy
@ 82¢
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A |
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A | $1.1K |
| Sep 19 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 60¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Invictus Gaming
@ 40¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 51¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Movistar KOI
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Anyones Legend
@ 51¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Invictus Gaming
@ 42¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.